Edmonton Real Estate Market Update March 2023

Written by Alan Kelly, Bōde’s Chief Economist

Real Estate Market Report | Edmonton | February 2023

Edmonton inventory returning to normal levels as sales slow down.

Edmonton’s real estate continues to improve. If you are looking to sell your home, you will have very little competition and homes ARE selling.

It is a new year and a new story when it comes to Edmonton’s real estate market. Home buyers continue to purchase in Edmonton – due to the strong economy as well as an increase in migration. Many sellers seem to be sitting back to see what is happening to interest rates, however, the homes on the market are moving. 

We empower home buyers and sellers with the data they need to be successful. When you arm yourself with transparent data, you will feel more confident in setting the price of your home and selling it or buying at the right price. 

Obviously, there are many important factors to consider (what kind of home you have, what community etc.), so it’s important to look specifically at what the housing market is doing in your neighbourhood. It is dead-easy to look at our data with a personal lens. 

Bōdesellers are more successful and actually make more money, on average, than the rest of the market. We are also here to make sure you have the information you need to make the decisions that are right for YOU!

So what's happening in the Edmonton real estate market as of February 2023?

Let’s start with a Macroeconomics view 

To understand what’s happening in the real estate market you have to look at supply and demand.

The best proxies for supply and demand are:

Supply

New supply: New Listings (i.e. the number of homes recently listed for sale)

Total supply: Inventory (i.e. the total number of homes listed for sale)

Demand

Sales (i.e. the number of homes recently sold)

 

Supply & Demand

Months of Supply (i.e. the number of months it would take to sell all current inventory at the current rate of sale)

 

These metrics are the best indicators of the health of the real estate market. Let’s look at what they show us.

Edmonton inventory returning to normal levels as sales slow down.

Chart illustrating Edmonton MLS new listings from 2018 to 2023, showing a 2% decrease in new supply for February 2023, with lines representing annual trends in residential listings.

New listings in February were down 2% while sales were down 8% vs. the previous 5 years.

Edmonton MLS sales graph illustrating residential sales trends from 2018 to 2023, highlighting an 8% decrease in sales for February 2023, with lines representing different years.

Sales had been consistently high since June 2020, however the last 6 months have seen that trend considerably slow.

Edmonton inventory chart displaying total residential supply trends from 2018 to 2023, indicating an 11% decrease in inventory levels as of March 2023.

The total number of homes for sale is down 11% compared to the average of the previous 5 years.

Edmonton months of supply chart showing trends in residential inventory from 2018 to 2023, highlighting a 16% decrease in supply as of March 2023, indicating a balanced market condition for buyers and sellers.

‘Months of supply’ is back below 5 months which is down just 16% vs the previous 5 years.

 

Fewer months of supply make conditions more favourable for sellers, while higher months of supply is more favourable for buyers. The current level would typically be seen as ‘balanced market’ between buyers and sellers. 

 

Overall, Edmonton prices are up 0.8% over last month, while being down 5.9% over February last year.

Edmonton property prices chart showing benchmark price and HPI index trends from January 2005 to March 2023, highlighting real estate market dynamics.

What does this mean for sellers?

 

Right now supply is slightly low relative to previous years while demand is slightly below average, which means it is a more balanced market for people thinking of selling their home. Sellers who price their home well will still be able to sell in this market. However, your specific property value will be determined by market forces both within your community and against similar active listings. To find out what supply and demand look like for your specific community, click here.

 

What does this mean for buyers?

 

There are currently slightly fewer homes for sale than there have been in previous years. This means active buyers need to move fast to beat other buyers to available listings.

 

Market conditions vary substantially by property type, community and price range

Edmonton's Detached Homes

Above, we’ve looked at the overall market for Edmonton, but different segments are performing very differently. Let’s look at a few examples.

 

Sales for detached homes were down 16% in February vs. previous years, while new listings were up 5%.

Edmonton detached new listings graph showing monthly trends from 2018 to 2023, with a notable 5% increase in new supply for February 2023.
Edmonton detached sales graph showing demand trends from 2018 to 2023, highlighting a 16% decrease in February 2023.

Detached homes were the best performing property type since the start of the COVID pandemic as buyers look for more space, however that trend has ended.

Chart depicting Edmonton detached home prices from January 2005 to March 2023, showing benchmark price in yellow and HPI Index in green, illustrating market trends and pricing changes over time.

Detached prices are up 1.9% over last month, and down 5.8% over last year.

Calgary detached home inventory chart showing a 44% decrease in supply for February 2023, with monthly supply trends from 2018 to 2023, highlighting significant fluctuations.
Calgary detached home prices chart showing benchmark price and HPI index trends from January 2005 to February 2023, highlighting recent market fluctuations.

Detached prices increased quickly in early 2022, putting prices above their previous record levels from 2014. However detached home prices are up 0.5% over last month and up 6.7% over January last year.

Edmonton's Apartments

New listings of apartments were down 39% in February compared the average of the previous 5 years, while sales were down 33%.

Graph depicting Edmonton apartment new listings from 2018 to 2023, highlighting a 39% decrease in February 2023 compared to previous years, with lines representing annual trends in new supply.

Apartment prices have generally been on a downward trend since 2015. This month saw prices go up 1.9% over last month, while being down 1.3% vs. February last year.

Edmonton apartment sales trend graph showing a 33% decrease in February 2023 compared to previous years, with data from 2018 to 2023.
Edmonton apartment prices chart showing benchmark price and HPI index trends from January 2005 to March 2023, highlighting price fluctuations and market analysis.

Apartment prices have generally been on a downward trend since 2015. This month saw prices go up 1.9% over last month, while being down 1.3% vs. February last year.

Edmonton's Attached Homes

New listings of attached homes were up 26% while sales were up 12% in February (compared to the average of the previous 5 years). 

Graph illustrating Edmonton attached home new listings trends from 2018 to 2023, highlighting a 26% increase in February 2023, with lines representing annual data.
Edmonton attached home sales trend chart showing a 12% increase in February 2023 compared to previous years, with data lines for 2018 to 2023.

Total inventory of attached homes has been incredibly low in recent months. It is currently 52% lower than the average of the previous 5 years.

Attached prices are up 0.1% over last month, while being down 3.8% over last year.

Chart illustrating Edmonton attached home prices over time, showing the Benchmark Price in yellow and the HPI Index in green, with data points from January 2005 to March 2023.

What really matters is what’s happening in your specific local property market. There are some communities and price bands and property types where homes are performing better/worse than market average.

It’s critical to understand the dynamics in your local property market

 

To understand your local property market you need to look at your local data. Head over to Bōde’s new and improved Market Data dashboard, the only place where you can see all the data yourself, including being able to filter on community, property type, and price range to see exactly what’s happening where you live.

 

You can also see the sold price of any home that has sold in the last 12 years using Bode’s Sold Data page.

 

If you’re thinking about selling, take a look at how Bōde helps sellers sell for 1.3% higher prices while paying 50% less commission.

Featured Listings

Bōde sellers sell for more and save a lot

Here are a just few of the many successful sellers

Edmonton property listing for 9679 224 St NW featuring a modern home, details including square footage of 2,261 SF, four bedrooms, and 3.5 bathrooms, with Bōde branding visible.

2324 22 Avenue NW

Modern kitchen interior of 5338 Lark Landing NW, featuring stainless steel appliances, a spacious layout, and Bōde branding with property details including square footage, bedrooms, and bathrooms.

7140 182 Avenue NW

As a homeowner, or potential buyer, it's important to stay
up to date with current mortgage rate trends

Historical discounted 5-year mortgage rates in Canada from 2006 to 2023, showing a downward trend with recent fluctuations.
Alan Kelly, Founder and Chief Economist of Bōde, smiling in a professional setting, promoting real estate insights and market trends in Calgary.

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February 2023 Edmonton Real Estate Market Trends & Insights

Graphic showing "1.3%" with text stating "Homes listed on Bōde sell for 1.3% more," emphasizing Bōde's value in the real estate market.
Graphic showing "9%" with text stating "Homes listed on Bōde are 9% more likely to sell than market average," emphasizing Bōde's competitive advantage in the Toronto real estate market.
50% savings for Bōde sellers on total commissions, emphasizing cost-effective real estate services.

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