Toronto Real Estate Market – February 2025

Real Estate Market Report | Toronto | February 2025

Oversupply and Declining Demand

With the looming threat of US tariffs on the horizon, homebuyers are looking to see what the final implications may be – the good news is that selling with Bōde mitigates that risk entirely by maximizing your equity, you’ll outperform traditional methods of buying and selling.  

We help provide home buyers and sellers with the data they need to be successful. When you have access to accurate and relevant data, you can be more confident in setting the price of your home and selling it or buying at the right price. 

With many important factors to consider (what kind of home you have, what community etc.), it’s important to look specifically at what the housing market is doing in your neighbourhood.  

Bōdesellers are more successful and actually make more money, on average, than the rest of the market. We are also here to make sure you have the information you need to make the decisions that are right for YOU!

So what's happening in the Toronto real estate market as of February 2025?

Let’s start with a Macroeconomics view 

To understand what’s happening in the real estate market you have to look at supply and demand.

The best proxies for supply and demand are:

Supply

New supply: New Listings (i.e. the number of homes recently listed for sale)

Total supply: Inventory (i.e. the total number of homes listed for sale)

Demand

Sales (i.e. the number of homes recently sold)

 

Supply & Demand

Months of Supply (i.e. the number of months it would take to sell all current inventory at the current rate of sale)

 

These metrics are the best indicators of the health of the real estate market. Let’s look at what they show us.

Overall Toronto Market

Toronto MLS New Listings chart showing new supply trends from January 2021 to January 2025, highlighting a 33% increase in new listings, with distinct colored lines representing each year.
Toronto MLS sales graph for January 2025, showing a 22% decline in residential sales compared to previous years, with color-coded lines for annual trends from 2021 to 2025.
Toronto MLS inventory chart illustrating total residential supply from January 2021 to January 2025, highlighting a 66% increase in inventory, with distinct lines representing annual trends.
Toronto MLS Month of Supply chart for January 2025, illustrating months of supply trends in residential real estate, highlighting an 81% increase and comparing data from 2021 to 2025.
Toronto MLS Benchmark graph showing residential benchmark price at $1,044,300 and index at 316, illustrating market trends from November 2020 to January 2025.

Over the past five Januarys, Toronto’s real estate market has seen a significant shift. New listings have increased by 33%, while sales have declined by 22%, resulting in a 66% rise in inventory and an 81% surge in months of supply. The benchmark price remains high at $1,044,300, with an HPI of 316, but the growing supply and declining demand suggest price pressures could emerge. Buyers now have more negotiating power, particularly in the condo and detached segments, which are seeing the sharpest declines in demand.

Toronto's Detached Homes

Toronto detached homes new listings trend chart, showing a 29% increase in January 2025 compared to previous years, with data from 2021 to 2025, emphasizing inventory changes in the real estate market.
Toronto detached sales trend chart showing demand decline, with January 2025 data indicating a 13% decrease compared to previous years, featuring multiple colored lines for 2021-2025.
Toronto detached inventory chart showing total supply trends from 2021 to 2025, with a highlighted 67% increase over the last five Januarys, indicating market shifts in real estate.
Toronto detached homes month of supply chart, showing significant increase to 4 months in January 2025, with 79% change over the last five Januarys, indicating shifts in supply and demand dynamics.
Toronto detached homes benchmark price graph, showing $1,622,900 and HPI index at 346, with trends from November 2020 to January 2025, illustrating significant shifts in the real estate market.

Toronto’s detached homes have experienced a 29% increase in new listings over the past five Januarys, while sales have dropped by 13%. Inventory has surged 67%, and months of supply has risen 79%, indicating a strong shift in buyer leverage. The benchmark price remains high at $1,622,900, with an HPI of 346, but these conditions suggest price corrections may be ahead.

Toronto's Condominiums

Toronto condominium new listings trend chart showing 36% increase in January 2025, with data from 2021 to 2025, highlighting market supply fluctuations and oversupply concerns.
Graph illustrating Toronto condominium sales trends from 2021 to 2025, highlighting a 30% decline in demand as of January 2025, with distinct colored lines representing annual sales data.
Toronto condominium inventory chart showing a 66% increase in total supply from January 2021 to January 2025, with monthly trends and comparisons across years.
Toronto condominium month of supply chart, showing significant increase in inventory with a 90% change over the last five Januarys, highlighting trends in supply and demand from 2021 to 2025.
Toronto condominium benchmark price chart showing a current price of $664,500 and HPI of 345, with historical data from November 2020 to February 2025, illustrating market trends and inventory changes.

Toronto’s condo segment is facing the steepest decline in demand, with sales down 30% over the past five Januarys despite a 36% increase in new listings. Inventory has risen 66%, and months of supply has jumped 90%, making this the most oversupplied segment. Prices remain at $664,500, with an HPI of 345, but rising supply may put pressure on sellers to lower prices.

Toronto's Semi-detached homes

Toronto semi-detached new listings chart for January 2025, showing percentage change over five years, with data lines for 2021 to 2025 and a 15% increase highlighted.
Toronto semi-detached sales chart for January 2025, showing sales trends from 2021 to 2025, highlighting a 5% increase in sales over the last five Januarys, with color-coded lines representing different years and a blue background.
Toronto semi-detached inventory chart showing total supply trends from 2021 to 2025, highlighting a 59% increase in January 2025.
Toronto semi-detached homes month of supply chart, showing trends from 2021 to 2025, highlighting a 40% increase in supply in February 2025, with color-coded lines representing different years.
Toronto semi-detached homes benchmark price chart, showing $1,263,700 as of January 2025, with benchmark and index trends over time, reflecting market dynamics.

The semi-detached segment has been the most resilient, with sales increasing by 5% over the past five Januarys, while new listings have risen by 15%. Inventory has grown by 59%, and months of supply has increased by 40%. The benchmark price stands at $1,263,700, with an HPI of 368, suggesting that demand remains stable. Semi-detached homes offer a middle-ground option for buyers, keeping this segment more competitive.

It’s critical to understand the dynamics in your local property market

 

To understand your local property market you need to look at your local data. Head over to Bōde’s new and improved Market Data dashboard, the only place where you can see all the data yourself, including being able to filter on community, property type, and price range to see exactly what’s happening where you live.


You can also see the sold price of any home that has sold in the last 2 years using Bode’s Sold Data page.


If you’re thinking about selling, take a look at how Bōde helps sellers sell for 1.3% higher prices while paying 50% less commission.

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Toronto Real Estate Market February 2025: Supply, Demand & Prices

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